Fantasy Playoff Probability 2018 wk13

This is the deciding week.
Note: The table is now sortable.

icon Team (record) E(Wins) E(Rank) Playoffs(%) Change(%)
icon Pack (11-1) 11.63 1.00 100.00 0.00
icon Jets (8-4) 8.95 2.62 99.97 3.09
icon Vikings (8-4) 8.54 2.81 99.50 4.74
icon IncdtlPun (8-4) 8.37 4.67 98.06 15.73
icon NotGonnaLie (7-5) 7.78 5.07 90.97 24.91
icon Economists (7-5) 7.46 5.51 71.69 18.62
icon Giants (7-5) 7.50 6.46 38.43 -34.54
icon Wonders (6-6) 6.50 7.85 1.38 -32.55
icon Wentz (3-9) 3.49 10.02 0.00 0.00
icon Broncos (4-8) 4.51 9.00 0.00 0.00
icon Fourth (2-10) 2.05 11.19 0.00 0.00
icon Blue (1-11) 1.22 11.79 0.00 0.00

There are now four of us fighting for three slots. IncidentalPunishment is almost surely in, and I’m not going to lie, it would be hard for NotGonnaLie to miss out. It’s really just down to me vs my nemesis: the Giants.

Middle Crew

 

And here is the updated expected wins table:

Div Div Rank Team Avg Pnts Opp_Pnts W E(W) E(W_1) Opp_Δ Time_Δ Tot_Δ
icon S 1 Pack 145.38 118.87 11 9.66 9.03 0.64 1.34 1.97
icon S 3 Jets 129.51 125.51 8 6.66 6.88 -0.22 1.34 1.12
icon S 4 IncdtlPun 120.62 119.63 8 6.17 5.38 0.79 1.83 2.62
icon S 9 Broncos 117.79 127.80 4 4.32 4.89 -0.57 -0.32 -0.89
icon S 10 Wentz 114.55 125.38 3 4.15 4.34 -0.18 -1.15 -1.34
icon S 11 Fourth 106.13 131.52 2 2.17 2.98 -0.81 -0.17 -0.98
icon L 2 Vikings 150.93 125.79 8 9.40 9.58 -0.18 -1.40 -1.58
icon L 5 NotGonnaLie 131.70 127.32 7 6.71 7.22 -0.51 0.29 -0.22
icon L 6 Economists 129.94 120.31 7 7.59 6.95 0.64 -0.59 0.05
icon L 7 Giants 116.83 117.30 7 5.92 4.73 1.19 1.08 2.27
icon L 8 Wonders 118.17 122.88 6 5.18 4.96 0.22 0.82 1.04
icon L 12 Blue 108.78 128.02 1 2.89 3.39 -0.49 -1.89 -2.39


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